Pardubice vs Mladá Boleslav Prediction & Preview
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECH LIGA (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Pardubice vs Mladá Boleslav
Model pick: Pardubice (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.36 – 1.44
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pardubice | Mladá Boleslav |
|---|
| League position | #15 (0 pts) | #3 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 2.0 | 3.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.6 | 3.2 / 1.2 |
*Pardubice shown at home, Mladá Boleslav shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pardubice — last 5
LWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
Mladá Boleslav — last 5
WWWDW
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 65% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pardubice (home) | Mladá Boleslav (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 1-1-0 in 2 (3.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 65% |
| Top scorer | Vojtech Patrak (6) | – |
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.67
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.36 vs 1.44):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Pardubice or draw (1X) | 61% |
| Double chance — Mladá Boleslav or draw (X2) | 64% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Pardubice clean sheet | 24% |
| Mladá Boleslav clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pardubice is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Pardubice are backed at home, where they average 1.1 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Pardubice vs Mladá Boleslav — FAQ
Who will win Pardubice vs Mladá Boleslav?
Our statistical model makes Pardubice the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Pardubice 41%, draw 26%, Mladá Boleslav 33%.
Will both teams score in Pardubice vs Mladá Boleslav?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Pardubice vs Mladá Boleslav?
Expected goals are 1.36 for Pardubice and 1.44 for Mladá Boleslav — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pardubice vs Mladá Boleslav?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Pardubice or draw is 61%.