Parndorf vs Marchfeld Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Parndorf vs Marchfeld
Model pick: Marchfeld (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.33 – 2.4
Total goals: 4.7
Over 2.5: 73%
Both teams score: 69%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Parndorf | Marchfeld |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 0.8 | 3.0 / 1.4 |
*Parndorf shown at home, Marchfeld shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Parndorf — last 5
WWDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Marchfeld — last 5
LWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Parndorf (home) | Marchfeld (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 75% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.32
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.33 vs 2.4):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-2 (7%) |
| Double chance — Parndorf or draw (1X) | 58% |
| Double chance — Marchfeld or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Parndorf clean sheet | 9% |
| Marchfeld clean sheet | 10% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Marchfeld is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Despite playing away, Marchfeld edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.7, this shapes as an open game (73% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Parndorf vs Marchfeld — FAQ
Who will win Parndorf vs Marchfeld?
Our statistical model makes Marchfeld the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Parndorf 39%, draw 21%, Marchfeld 41%.
Will both teams score in Parndorf vs Marchfeld?
The model gives a 69% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Parndorf vs Marchfeld?
Expected goals are 2.33 for Parndorf and 2.4 for Marchfeld — about 4.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Parndorf vs Marchfeld?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-2 (7%). Double chance for Parndorf or draw is 58%.