Partick Thistle vs Queen's Park Prediction & Preview
Division1 (Scotland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION1 (SCOTLAND)
Partick Thistle vs Queen's Park
Model pick: Partick Thistle (64%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.84 – 0.93
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Partick Thistle | Queen's Park |
|---|
| League position | #3 (7 pts) | #10 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 1.8 |
*Partick Thistle shown at home, Queen's Park shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Partick Thistle — last 5
DWWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Queen's Park — last 5
LWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Partick Thistle (home) | Queen's Park (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 57% |
Division1 (Scotland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.6
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 48%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Division1 (Scotland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.84 vs 0.93):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Partick Thistle or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Queen's Park or draw (X2) | 41% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Partick Thistle clean sheet | 39% |
| Queen's Park clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Partick Thistle is the model's most likely outcome at
64%. Partick Thistle are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Partick Thistle vs Queen's Park — FAQ
Who will win Partick Thistle vs Queen's Park?
Our statistical model makes Partick Thistle the most likely result at 64%. Full probabilities: Partick Thistle 64%, draw 21%, Queen's Park 14%.
Will both teams score in Partick Thistle vs Queen's Park?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Partick Thistle vs Queen's Park?
Expected goals are 1.84 for Partick Thistle and 0.93 for Queen's Park — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Partick Thistle vs Queen's Park?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for Partick Thistle or draw is 81%.