Partizan vs IMT Novi Beograd Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
Partizan vs IMT Novi Beograd
Model pick: Partizan (60%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.1 – 0.92
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Partizan | IMT Novi Beograd |
|---|
| League position | #7 (1 pts) | #5 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
*Partizan shown at home, IMT Novi Beograd shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Partizan — last 5
DWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 48% of the time; 62% of home games go over 2.5.
IMT Novi Beograd — last 5
WLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Partizan (home) | IMT Novi Beograd (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 48% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 45% |
| Top scorer | – | Charly Keita (4) |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.1 vs 0.92):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Partizan or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — IMT Novi Beograd or draw (X2) | 35% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Partizan clean sheet | 40% |
| IMT Novi Beograd clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Partizan is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Partizan are backed at home, where they average 2.2 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Partizan vs IMT Novi Beograd — FAQ
Who will win Partizan vs IMT Novi Beograd?
Our statistical model makes Partizan the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Partizan 60%, draw 22%, IMT Novi Beograd 18%.
Will both teams score in Partizan vs IMT Novi Beograd?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Partizan vs IMT Novi Beograd?
Expected goals are 2.1 for Partizan and 0.92 for IMT Novi Beograd — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Partizan vs IMT Novi Beograd?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (11%). Double chance for Partizan or draw is 85%.