Pau vs Annecy Prediction & Preview
Ligue 2 (France) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGUE 2 (FRANCE)
Pau vs Annecy
Model pick: Annecy (37%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.45 – 1.58
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pau | Annecy |
|---|
| League position | #13 (0 pts) | #15 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 1.2 / 2.0 |
*Pau shown at home, Annecy shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pau — last 5
WWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Annecy — last 5
WLLDD
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pau (home) | Annecy (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 56% |
| Top scorer | Giovani Versini (6) | Antoine Larose (7) |
Ligue 2 (France) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.43
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Ligue 2 (France) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.45 vs 1.58):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Pau or draw (1X) | 59% |
| Double chance — Annecy or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Pau clean sheet | 21% |
| Annecy clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Annecy is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Despite playing away, Annecy edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Pau vs Annecy — FAQ
Who will win Pau vs Annecy?
Our statistical model makes Annecy the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Pau 36%, draw 27%, Annecy 37%.
Will both teams score in Pau vs Annecy?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Pau vs Annecy?
Expected goals are 1.45 for Pau and 1.58 for Annecy — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pau vs Annecy?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Pau or draw is 59%.