Paykan vs Gol Gohar Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) · Aug 18, 2026 · kickoff 16:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Paykan vs Gol Gohar
Model pick: Gol Gohar (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.73 – 0.98
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 35%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Paykan | Gol Gohar |
|---|
| League position | #4 (0 pts) | #11 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 1.0 | 1.2 / 2.0 |
*Paykan shown at home, Gol Gohar shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Paykan — last 5
WLLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 36% of the time; 28% of home games go over 2.5.
Gol Gohar — last 5
WLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 37% of the time; 27% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Paykan (home) | Gol Gohar (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 36% | 37% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% | 27% |
Premier League (Iran) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 42%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.73 vs 0.98):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (18%) |
| Double chance — Paykan or draw (1X) | 60% |
| Double chance — Gol Gohar or draw (X2) | 74% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 66% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 51% / 49% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Paykan clean sheet | 38% |
| Gol Gohar clean sheet | 48% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gol Gohar is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Despite playing away, Gol Gohar edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (65% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Paykan vs Gol Gohar — FAQ
Who will win Paykan vs Gol Gohar?
Our statistical model makes Gol Gohar the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Paykan 27%, draw 34%, Gol Gohar 39%.
Will both teams score in Paykan vs Gol Gohar?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Paykan vs Gol Gohar?
Expected goals are 0.73 for Paykan and 0.98 for Gol Gohar — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Paykan vs Gol Gohar?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (18%). Double chance for Paykan or draw is 60%.