Paykan vs Sanat Naft Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 15:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Paykan vs Sanat Naft
Model pick: Paykan (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.04 – 0.75
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 37%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Paykan | Sanat Naft |
|---|
| League position | #9 (5 pts) | #14 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
*Paykan shown at home, Sanat Naft shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Paykan — last 5
DLDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 28% of home games go over 2.5.
Sanat Naft — last 5
WDDLD
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Paykan (home) | Sanat Naft (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-2-0 in 2 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-2-0 in 2 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 42% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% | 33% |
Premier League (Iran) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.04 vs 0.75):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — Paykan or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Sanat Naft or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 53% / 47% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Paykan clean sheet | 47% |
| Sanat Naft clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Paykan is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Paykan are backed at home, where they average 0.9 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (63% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Paykan vs Sanat Naft — FAQ
Who will win Paykan vs Sanat Naft?
Our statistical model makes Paykan the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Paykan 40%, draw 33%, Sanat Naft 27%.
Will both teams score in Paykan vs Sanat Naft?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Paykan vs Sanat Naft?
Expected goals are 1.04 for Paykan and 0.75 for Sanat Naft — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Paykan vs Sanat Naft?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (17%). Double chance for Paykan or draw is 74%.