Pecsi MFC vs Ferencvaros II Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Pecsi MFC vs Ferencvaros II
Model pick: Draw (54%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.24 – 0.42
Total goals: 0.7
Over 2.5: 12%
Both teams score: 25%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pecsi MFC | Ferencvaros II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.75 / 0.5 | 2.0 / 0.0 |
*Pecsi MFC shown at home, Ferencvaros II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pecsi MFC — last 5
DWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Ferencvaros II — last 5
W
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pecsi MFC (home) | Ferencvaros II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.24 vs 0.42):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (52%) |
| Double chance — Pecsi MFC or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Ferencvaros II or draw (X2) | 85% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 43% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 14% / 86% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Pecsi MFC clean sheet | 66% |
| Ferencvaros II clean sheet | 79% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (88% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Pecsi MFC vs Ferencvaros II — FAQ
Who will win Pecsi MFC vs Ferencvaros II?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Pecsi MFC 17%, draw 54%, Ferencvaros II 29%.
Will both teams score in Pecsi MFC vs Ferencvaros II?
The model gives a 25% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Pecsi MFC vs Ferencvaros II?
Expected goals are 0.24 for Pecsi MFC and 0.42 for Ferencvaros II — about 0.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pecsi MFC vs Ferencvaros II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (52%). Double chance for Pecsi MFC or draw is 72%.