Pecsi MFC vs Ivancsa Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Pecsi MFC vs Ivancsa
Model pick: Pecsi MFC (88%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.59 – 0.43
Total goals: 4.0
Over 2.5: 66%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pecsi MFC | Ivancsa |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.4 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 0.75 |
*Pecsi MFC shown at home, Ivancsa shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pecsi MFC — last 5
WWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 75% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Ivancsa — last 5
WLWW
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pecsi MFC (home) | Ivancsa (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 75% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.59 vs 0.43):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Pecsi MFC or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — Ivancsa or draw (X2) | 8% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 94% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Pecsi MFC clean sheet | 65% |
| Ivancsa clean sheet | 3% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pecsi MFC is the model's most likely outcome at
88%. Pecsi MFC are backed at home, where they average 2.2 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.0, this shapes as an open game (66% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Pecsi MFC vs Ivancsa — FAQ
Who will win Pecsi MFC vs Ivancsa?
Our statistical model makes Pecsi MFC the most likely result at 88%. Full probabilities: Pecsi MFC 88%, draw 8%, Ivancsa 3%.
Will both teams score in Pecsi MFC vs Ivancsa?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Pecsi MFC vs Ivancsa?
Expected goals are 3.59 for Pecsi MFC and 0.43 for Ivancsa — about 4.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pecsi MFC vs Ivancsa?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (14%). Double chance for Pecsi MFC or draw is 98%.