Pelikan Łowicz vs ŁKS Łódź II Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Pelikan Łowicz vs ŁKS Łódź II
Model pick: Pelikan Łowicz (98%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.83 – 0.01
Total goals: 4.8
Over 2.5: 73%
Both teams score: 12%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pelikan Łowicz | ŁKS Łódź II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.0 / 1.8 |
*Pelikan Łowicz shown at home, ŁKS Łódź II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pelikan Łowicz — last 5
LWLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
ŁKS Łódź II — last 5
LWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pelikan Łowicz (home) | ŁKS Łódź II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 55% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.83 vs 0.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Pelikan Łowicz or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — ŁKS Łódź II or draw (X2) | 1% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 99% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Pelikan Łowicz clean sheet | 99% |
| ŁKS Łódź II clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pelikan Łowicz is the model's most likely outcome at
98%. Pelikan Łowicz are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.8, this shapes as an open game (73% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Pelikan Łowicz vs ŁKS Łódź II — FAQ
Who will win Pelikan Łowicz vs ŁKS Łódź II?
Our statistical model makes Pelikan Łowicz the most likely result at 98%. Full probabilities: Pelikan Łowicz 98%, draw 2%, ŁKS Łódź II 0%.
Will both teams score in Pelikan Łowicz vs ŁKS Łódź II?
The model gives a 12% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Pelikan Łowicz vs ŁKS Łódź II?
Expected goals are 4.83 for Pelikan Łowicz and 0.01 for ŁKS Łódź II — about 4.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pelikan Łowicz vs ŁKS Łódź II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (19%). Double chance for Pelikan Łowicz or draw is 100%.