Pelikan Łowicz vs Swit Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Pelikan Łowicz vs Swit
Model pick: Swit (68%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.32 – 1.72
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 38%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pelikan Łowicz | Swit |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
*Pelikan Łowicz shown at home, Swit shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pelikan Łowicz — last 5
WWLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Swit — last 5
WDLDW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 38% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pelikan Łowicz (home) | Swit (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 38% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.32 vs 1.72):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (22%) |
| Double chance — Pelikan Łowicz or draw (1X) | 28% |
| Double chance — Swit or draw (X2) | 94% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Pelikan Łowicz clean sheet | 18% |
| Swit clean sheet | 73% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Swit is the model's most likely outcome at
68%. Despite playing away, Swit edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Pelikan Łowicz vs Swit — FAQ
Who will win Pelikan Łowicz vs Swit?
Our statistical model makes Swit the most likely result at 68%. Full probabilities: Pelikan Łowicz 8%, draw 24%, Swit 68%.
Will both teams score in Pelikan Łowicz vs Swit?
The model gives a 38% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Pelikan Łowicz vs Swit?
Expected goals are 0.32 for Pelikan Łowicz and 1.72 for Swit — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pelikan Łowicz vs Swit?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (22%). Double chance for Pelikan Łowicz or draw is 28%.