Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn
Model pick: Pelikan Łowicz (92%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 5.14 – 0.8
Total goals: 5.9
Over 2.5: 80%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pelikan Łowicz | Troszyn |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.25 / 2.5 |
*Pelikan Łowicz shown at home, Troszyn shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pelikan Łowicz — last 5
WLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Troszyn — last 5
WLLL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pelikan Łowicz (home) | Troszyn (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 67%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (5.14 vs 0.8):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 5-0 (9%) |
| Double chance — Pelikan Łowicz or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — Troszyn or draw (X2) | 5% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Pelikan Łowicz clean sheet | 45% |
| Troszyn clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pelikan Łowicz is the model's most likely outcome at
92%. Pelikan Łowicz are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.9, this shapes as an open game (80% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn — FAQ
Who will win Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn?
Our statistical model makes Pelikan Łowicz the most likely result at 92%. Full probabilities: Pelikan Łowicz 92%, draw 5%, Troszyn 3%.
Will both teams score in Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn?
Expected goals are 5.14 for Pelikan Łowicz and 0.8 for Troszyn — about 5.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pelikan Łowicz vs Troszyn?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 5-0 (9%). Double chance for Pelikan Łowicz or draw is 98%.