Pendikspor vs Bandırmaspor Prediction & Preview
Lig A (Turkey) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIG A (TURKEY)
Pendikspor vs Bandırmaspor
Model pick: Pendikspor (41%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.23 – 0.97
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pendikspor | Bandırmaspor |
|---|
| League position | #9 (4 pts) | #5 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 2.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.0 | 1.2 / 0.2 |
*Pendikspor shown at home, Bandırmaspor shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pendikspor — last 5
DLWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
Bandırmaspor — last 5
DWWWD
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pendikspor (home) | Bandırmaspor (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (2.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 44% |
| Top scorer | Jonson Clarke-Harris (6) | Tanque Douglas (8) |
Lig A (Turkey) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.67
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Lig A (Turkey) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.23 vs 0.97):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Pendikspor or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Bandırmaspor or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Pendikspor clean sheet | 38% |
| Bandırmaspor clean sheet | 29% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pendikspor is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Pendikspor are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Pendikspor vs Bandırmaspor — FAQ
Who will win Pendikspor vs Bandırmaspor?
Our statistical model makes Pendikspor the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Pendikspor 41%, draw 30%, Bandırmaspor 30%.
Will both teams score in Pendikspor vs Bandırmaspor?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Pendikspor vs Bandırmaspor?
Expected goals are 1.23 for Pendikspor and 0.97 for Bandırmaspor — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pendikspor vs Bandırmaspor?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Pendikspor or draw is 71%.