Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Prediction & Preview
Feeder Leagues (Wales) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FEEDER LEAGUES (WALES)
Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh
Model pick: Denbigh (73%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.51 – 2.32
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Penrhyncoch | Denbigh |
|---|
| League position | #15 (0 pts) | #11 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 3.0 | 2.5 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.33 / 3.33 | 1.0 / 1.8 |
*Penrhyncoch shown at home, Denbigh shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Penrhyncoch — last 5
LLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Denbigh — last 5
LWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Penrhyncoch (home) | Denbigh (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 3.0 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (2.5 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
Feeder Leagues (Wales) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 40%
Over 2.5: 72%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Feeder Leagues (Wales) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.51 vs 2.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (16%) |
| Double chance — Penrhyncoch or draw (1X) | 22% |
| Double chance — Denbigh or draw (X2) | 94% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Penrhyncoch clean sheet | 10% |
| Denbigh clean sheet | 60% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Denbigh is the model's most likely outcome at
73%. Despite playing away, Denbigh edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh — FAQ
Who will win Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh?
Our statistical model makes Denbigh the most likely result at 73%. Full probabilities: Penrhyncoch 9%, draw 18%, Denbigh 73%.
Will both teams score in Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh?
Expected goals are 0.51 for Penrhyncoch and 2.32 for Denbigh — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (16%). Double chance for Penrhyncoch or draw is 22%.