Penza vs SKA Khabarovsk 2 Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Penza vs SKA Khabarovsk 2
Model pick: Penza (47%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.99 – 0.4
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 29%
Both teams score: 37%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Penza | SKA Khabarovsk 2 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.4 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
*Penza shown at home, SKA Khabarovsk 2 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Penza — last 5
LLLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
SKA Khabarovsk 2 — last 5
LLLWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Penza (home) | SKA Khabarovsk 2 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 60% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.03
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 59%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.99 vs 0.4):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (25%) |
| Double chance — Penza or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — SKA Khabarovsk 2 or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 64% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Penza clean sheet | 67% |
| SKA Khabarovsk 2 clean sheet | 37% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Penza is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Penza are backed at home, where they average 0.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (71% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Penza vs SKA Khabarovsk 2 — FAQ
Who will win Penza vs SKA Khabarovsk 2?
Our statistical model makes Penza the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Penza 47%, draw 36%, SKA Khabarovsk 2 17%.
Will both teams score in Penza vs SKA Khabarovsk 2?
The model gives a 37% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Penza vs SKA Khabarovsk 2?
Expected goals are 0.99 for Penza and 0.4 for SKA Khabarovsk 2 — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Penza vs SKA Khabarovsk 2?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (25%). Double chance for Penza or draw is 85%.