Persepolis vs Zob Ahan Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) · Sep 07, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Persepolis vs Zob Ahan
Model pick: Persepolis (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.47 – 0.53
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 40%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Persepolis | Zob Ahan |
|---|
| League position | #4 (9 pts) | #13 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.5 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1.0 |
*Persepolis shown at home, Zob Ahan shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Persepolis — last 5
LWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 63% of the time; 31% of home games go over 2.5.
Zob Ahan — last 5
LDLDD
On the road: clean sheet 30% of the time; 38% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Persepolis (home) | Zob Ahan (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-0 in 2 (3.5 / 0.5 goals per game) | 0-1-1 in 2 (0.5 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 63% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 31% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | 38% |
| Top scorer | – | Milad Zakipour (1) |
Premier League (Iran) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.47 vs 0.53):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (20%) |
| Double chance — Persepolis or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Double chance — Zob Ahan or draw (X2) | 40% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 59% / 41% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 14% / 86% |
| Persepolis clean sheet | 59% |
| Zob Ahan clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Persepolis is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Persepolis are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (60% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Persepolis vs Zob Ahan — FAQ
Who will win Persepolis vs Zob Ahan?
Our statistical model makes Persepolis the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Persepolis 56%, draw 28%, Zob Ahan 16%.
Will both teams score in Persepolis vs Zob Ahan?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Persepolis vs Zob Ahan?
Expected goals are 1.47 for Persepolis and 0.53 for Zob Ahan — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Persepolis vs Zob Ahan?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (20%). Double chance for Persepolis or draw is 87%.