Pescara vs Vis Pesaro Prediction & Preview
Serie C - Group A (Italy) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE C - GROUP A (ITALY)
Pescara vs Vis Pesaro
Model pick: Pescara (59%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.71 – 0.93
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pescara | Vis Pesaro |
|---|
| League position | #20 (35 pts) | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.4 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 26% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 2.8 |
*Pescara shown at home, Vis Pesaro shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pescara — last 5
DDLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
Vis Pesaro — last 5
LLLDW
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 40% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pescara (home) | Vis Pesaro (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-7-7 in 19 (1.5 / 1.4 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 40% |
Serie C - Group A (Italy) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.33
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 41%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Serie C - Group A (Italy) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.71 vs 0.93):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — Pescara or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Vis Pesaro or draw (X2) | 44% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Pescara clean sheet | 39% |
| Vis Pesaro clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pescara is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Pescara are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Pescara vs Vis Pesaro — FAQ
Who will win Pescara vs Vis Pesaro?
Our statistical model makes Pescara the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Pescara 59%, draw 24%, Vis Pesaro 17%.
Will both teams score in Pescara vs Vis Pesaro?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Pescara vs Vis Pesaro?
Expected goals are 1.71 for Pescara and 0.93 for Vis Pesaro — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pescara vs Vis Pesaro?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for Pescara or draw is 80%.