Peterborough Sports vs Stourbridge Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Peterborough Sports vs Stourbridge
Model pick: Stourbridge (66%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.03 – 1.2
Total goals: 1.2
Over 2.5: 26%
Both teams score: 16%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Peterborough Sports | Stourbridge |
|---|
| League position | #19 (1 pts) | #7 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 2.0 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 2.8 | 1.67 / 2.67 |
*Peterborough Sports shown at home, Stourbridge shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Peterborough Sports — last 5
LDLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 43% of home games go over 2.5.
Stourbridge — last 5
DLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Peterborough Sports (home) | Stourbridge (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 100% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 19%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.03 vs 1.2):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (35%) |
| Double chance — Peterborough Sports or draw (1X) | 31% |
| Double chance — Stourbridge or draw (X2) | 99% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 4% / 96% |
| Peterborough Sports clean sheet | 30% |
| Stourbridge clean sheet | 97% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Stourbridge is the model's most likely outcome at
66%. Despite playing away, Stourbridge edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (74% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Peterborough Sports vs Stourbridge — FAQ
Who will win Peterborough Sports vs Stourbridge?
Our statistical model makes Stourbridge the most likely result at 66%. Full probabilities: Peterborough Sports 2%, draw 33%, Stourbridge 66%.
Will both teams score in Peterborough Sports vs Stourbridge?
The model gives a 16% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Peterborough Sports vs Stourbridge?
Expected goals are 0.03 for Peterborough Sports and 1.2 for Stourbridge — about 1.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Peterborough Sports vs Stourbridge?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (35%). Double chance for Peterborough Sports or draw is 31%.