Peterborough United vs Mansfield Town Prediction & Preview
League One (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LEAGUE ONE (ENGLAND)
Peterborough United vs Mansfield Town
Model pick: Peterborough United (38%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.68 – 1.35
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Peterborough United | Mansfield Town |
|---|
| League position | #23 (0 pts) | #7 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.2 | 2.0 / 2.2 |
*Peterborough United shown at home, Mansfield Town shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Peterborough United — last 5
LWLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 59% of home games go over 2.5.
Mansfield Town — last 5
LWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Peterborough United (home) | Mansfield Town (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 45% |
| Top scorer | Harry Leonard (15) | – |
League One (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.6
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 52%
Use these League One (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.68 vs 1.35):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Peterborough United or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Double chance — Mansfield Town or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Peterborough United clean sheet | 26% |
| Mansfield Town clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Peterborough United is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Peterborough United are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Peterborough United vs Mansfield Town — FAQ
Who will win Peterborough United vs Mansfield Town?
Our statistical model makes Peterborough United the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Peterborough United 38%, draw 26%, Mansfield Town 36%.
Will both teams score in Peterborough United vs Mansfield Town?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Peterborough United vs Mansfield Town?
Expected goals are 1.68 for Peterborough United and 1.35 for Mansfield Town — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Peterborough United vs Mansfield Town?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Peterborough United or draw is 69%.