Petrin Plzen vs Milevsko Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 08:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Petrin Plzen vs Milevsko
Model pick: Petrin Plzen (69%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.65 – 0.23
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 34%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Petrin Plzen | Milevsko |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.0 | 0.75 / 1.5 |
*Petrin Plzen shown at home, Milevsko shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Petrin Plzen — last 5
LLWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Milevsko — last 5
LLDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Petrin Plzen (home) | Milevsko (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 100% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.72
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 75%
BTTS: 67%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.65 vs 0.23):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (25%) |
| Double chance — Petrin Plzen or draw (1X) | 95% |
| Double chance — Milevsko or draw (X2) | 26% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 56% / 44% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Petrin Plzen clean sheet | 79% |
| Milevsko clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Petrin Plzen is the model's most likely outcome at
69%. Petrin Plzen are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Petrin Plzen vs Milevsko — FAQ
Who will win Petrin Plzen vs Milevsko?
Our statistical model makes Petrin Plzen the most likely result at 69%. Full probabilities: Petrin Plzen 69%, draw 24%, Milevsko 7%.
Will both teams score in Petrin Plzen vs Milevsko?
The model gives a 34% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Petrin Plzen vs Milevsko?
Expected goals are 1.65 for Petrin Plzen and 0.23 for Milevsko — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Petrin Plzen vs Milevsko?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (25%). Double chance for Petrin Plzen or draw is 95%.