Pfaffenhofen vs Heimstetten Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 25, 2026 · kickoff 16:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Pfaffenhofen vs Heimstetten
Model pick: Pfaffenhofen (37%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.37 – 1.37
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pfaffenhofen | Heimstetten |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
*Pfaffenhofen shown at home, Heimstetten shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pfaffenhofen — last 5
DWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Heimstetten — last 5
LLDWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pfaffenhofen (home) | Heimstetten (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.37 vs 1.37):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Pfaffenhofen or draw (1X) | 63% |
| Double chance — Heimstetten or draw (X2) | 63% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Pfaffenhofen clean sheet | 25% |
| Heimstetten clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pfaffenhofen is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Pfaffenhofen are backed at home, where they average 2.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Pfaffenhofen vs Heimstetten — FAQ
Who will win Pfaffenhofen vs Heimstetten?
Our statistical model makes Pfaffenhofen the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Pfaffenhofen 37%, draw 27%, Heimstetten 37%.
Will both teams score in Pfaffenhofen vs Heimstetten?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Pfaffenhofen vs Heimstetten?
Expected goals are 1.37 for Pfaffenhofen and 1.37 for Heimstetten — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pfaffenhofen vs Heimstetten?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Pfaffenhofen or draw is 63%.