Pfaffenhofen vs Munich 1860 II Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 07, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Pfaffenhofen vs Munich 1860 II
Model pick: Pfaffenhofen (73%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.58 – 0.07
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 34%
Both teams score: 22%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pfaffenhofen | Munich 1860 II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.0 | 3.67 / 1.0 |
*Pfaffenhofen shown at home, Munich 1860 II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pfaffenhofen — last 5
DW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Munich 1860 II — last 5
WWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pfaffenhofen (home) | Munich 1860 II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.03
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.58 vs 0.07):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (30%) |
| Double chance — Pfaffenhofen or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Munich 1860 II or draw (X2) | 23% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 49% / 51% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Pfaffenhofen clean sheet | 93% |
| Munich 1860 II clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pfaffenhofen is the model's most likely outcome at
73%. Pfaffenhofen are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (66% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Pfaffenhofen vs Munich 1860 II — FAQ
Who will win Pfaffenhofen vs Munich 1860 II?
Our statistical model makes Pfaffenhofen the most likely result at 73%. Full probabilities: Pfaffenhofen 73%, draw 24%, Munich 1860 II 2%.
Will both teams score in Pfaffenhofen vs Munich 1860 II?
The model gives a 22% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Pfaffenhofen vs Munich 1860 II?
Expected goals are 1.58 for Pfaffenhofen and 0.07 for Munich 1860 II — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pfaffenhofen vs Munich 1860 II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (30%). Double chance for Pfaffenhofen or draw is 99%.