Pforzheim vs Young Boys Reutlingen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Pforzheim vs Young Boys Reutlingen
Model pick: Young Boys Reutlingen (59%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.98 – 2.14
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pforzheim | Young Boys Reutlingen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.67 | 1.67 / 2.67 |
*Pforzheim shown at home, Young Boys Reutlingen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pforzheim — last 5
LDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Young Boys Reutlingen — last 5
LDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pforzheim (home) | Young Boys Reutlingen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.34
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.98 vs 2.14):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (10%) |
| Double chance — Pforzheim or draw (1X) | 36% |
| Double chance — Young Boys Reutlingen or draw (X2) | 84% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Pforzheim clean sheet | 12% |
| Young Boys Reutlingen clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Young Boys Reutlingen is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Despite playing away, Young Boys Reutlingen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Pforzheim vs Young Boys Reutlingen — FAQ
Who will win Pforzheim vs Young Boys Reutlingen?
Our statistical model makes Young Boys Reutlingen the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Pforzheim 19%, draw 22%, Young Boys Reutlingen 59%.
Will both teams score in Pforzheim vs Young Boys Reutlingen?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Pforzheim vs Young Boys Reutlingen?
Expected goals are 0.98 for Pforzheim and 2.14 for Young Boys Reutlingen — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pforzheim vs Young Boys Reutlingen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (10%). Double chance for Pforzheim or draw is 36%.