Phonix Lubeck B vs VfR Neumunster Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Phonix Lubeck B vs VfR Neumunster
Model pick: VfR Neumunster (63%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.76 – 2.07
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Phonix Lubeck B | VfR Neumunster |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.75 / 2.25 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
*Phonix Lubeck B shown at home, VfR Neumunster shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Phonix Lubeck B — last 5
WLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
VfR Neumunster — last 5
WDWD
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Phonix Lubeck B (home) | VfR Neumunster (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.76 vs 2.07):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (13%) |
| Double chance — Phonix Lubeck B or draw (1X) | 32% |
| Double chance — VfR Neumunster or draw (X2) | 87% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Phonix Lubeck B clean sheet | 13% |
| VfR Neumunster clean sheet | 47% |
🎯 Our Verdict
VfR Neumunster is the model's most likely outcome at
63%. Despite playing away, VfR Neumunster edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Phonix Lubeck B vs VfR Neumunster — FAQ
Who will win Phonix Lubeck B vs VfR Neumunster?
Our statistical model makes VfR Neumunster the most likely result at 63%. Full probabilities: Phonix Lubeck B 15%, draw 22%, VfR Neumunster 63%.
Will both teams score in Phonix Lubeck B vs VfR Neumunster?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Phonix Lubeck B vs VfR Neumunster?
Expected goals are 0.76 for Phonix Lubeck B and 2.07 for VfR Neumunster — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Phonix Lubeck B vs VfR Neumunster?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (13%). Double chance for Phonix Lubeck B or draw is 32%.