Piast Gliwice vs Wieczysta Kraków Prediction & Preview
Ekstraklasa (Poland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EKSTRAKLASA (POLAND)
Piast Gliwice vs Wieczysta Kraków
Model pick: Piast Gliwice (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.49 – 1.09
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Piast Gliwice | Wieczysta Kraków |
|---|
| League position | #13 (3 pts) | #18 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 4.0 / 3.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.4 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
*Piast Gliwice shown at home, Wieczysta Kraków shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Piast Gliwice — last 5
DLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 39% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Wieczysta Kraków — last 5
DWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 39% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Piast Gliwice (home) | Wieczysta Kraków (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (4.0 / 3.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 39% | 39% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 44% |
Ekstraklasa (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.66
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Ekstraklasa (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.49 vs 1.09):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Piast Gliwice or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Wieczysta Kraków or draw (X2) | 54% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Piast Gliwice clean sheet | 34% |
| Wieczysta Kraków clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Piast Gliwice is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Piast Gliwice are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Piast Gliwice vs Wieczysta Kraków — FAQ
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Wieczysta Kraków?
Our statistical model makes Piast Gliwice the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Piast Gliwice 44%, draw 27%, Wieczysta Kraków 28%.
Will both teams score in Piast Gliwice vs Wieczysta Kraków?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Piast Gliwice vs Wieczysta Kraków?
Expected goals are 1.49 for Piast Gliwice and 1.09 for Wieczysta Kraków — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Piast Gliwice vs Wieczysta Kraków?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Piast Gliwice or draw is 72%.