Piast Gliwice vs Wisła Kraków Prediction & Preview
Ekstraklasa (Poland) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 12:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EKSTRAKLASA (POLAND)
Piast Gliwice vs Wisła Kraków
Model pick: Piast Gliwice (47%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.48 – 0.97
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Piast Gliwice | Wisła Kraków |
|---|
| League position | #6 (0 pts) | #11 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
*Piast Gliwice shown at home, Wisła Kraków shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Piast Gliwice — last 5
LWWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Wisła Kraków — last 5
WDLDW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Piast Gliwice (home) | Wisła Kraków (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 54% |
| Top scorer | – | Lukasz Sekulski (8) |
Ekstraklasa (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.66
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Ekstraklasa (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.48 vs 0.97):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Piast Gliwice or draw (1X) | 75% |
| Double chance — Wisła Kraków or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Piast Gliwice clean sheet | 38% |
| Wisła Kraków clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Piast Gliwice is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Piast Gliwice are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Piast Gliwice vs Wisła Kraków — FAQ
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Wisła Kraków?
Our statistical model makes Piast Gliwice the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Piast Gliwice 47%, draw 27%, Wisła Kraków 26%.
Will both teams score in Piast Gliwice vs Wisła Kraków?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Piast Gliwice vs Wisła Kraków?
Expected goals are 1.48 for Piast Gliwice and 0.97 for Wisła Kraków — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Piast Gliwice vs Wisła Kraków?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Piast Gliwice or draw is 75%.