Pipinsried vs Pfaffenhofen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Pipinsried vs Pfaffenhofen
Model pick: Pfaffenhofen (80%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.49 – 2.8
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pipinsried | Pfaffenhofen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.33 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 0.33 |
*Pipinsried shown at home, Pfaffenhofen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pipinsried — last 5
WWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Pfaffenhofen — last 5
DWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pipinsried (home) | Pfaffenhofen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.05
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.49 vs 2.8):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (15%) |
| Double chance — Pipinsried or draw (1X) | 15% |
| Double chance — Pfaffenhofen or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 89% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 42% / 58% |
| Pipinsried clean sheet | 6% |
| Pfaffenhofen clean sheet | 61% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pfaffenhofen is the model's most likely outcome at
80%. Despite playing away, Pfaffenhofen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Pipinsried vs Pfaffenhofen — FAQ
Who will win Pipinsried vs Pfaffenhofen?
Our statistical model makes Pfaffenhofen the most likely result at 80%. Full probabilities: Pipinsried 6%, draw 14%, Pfaffenhofen 80%.
Will both teams score in Pipinsried vs Pfaffenhofen?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Pipinsried vs Pfaffenhofen?
Expected goals are 0.49 for Pipinsried and 2.8 for Pfaffenhofen — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pipinsried vs Pfaffenhofen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (15%). Double chance for Pipinsried or draw is 15%.