Pirmasens vs Emmelshausen-Karbach Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 09, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Pirmasens vs Emmelshausen-Karbach
Model pick: Pirmasens (73%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.37 – 1.22
Total goals: 4.6
Over 2.5: 72%
Both teams score: 61%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pirmasens | Emmelshausen-Karbach |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 2.8 |
*Pirmasens shown at home, Emmelshausen-Karbach shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pirmasens — last 5
WLWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 67% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Emmelshausen-Karbach — last 5
WDWLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pirmasens (home) | Emmelshausen-Karbach (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 67% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.37 vs 1.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Pirmasens or draw (1X) | 90% |
| Double chance — Emmelshausen-Karbach or draw (X2) | 22% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 88% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 94% / 6% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Pirmasens clean sheet | 30% |
| Emmelshausen-Karbach clean sheet | 3% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pirmasens is the model's most likely outcome at
73%. Pirmasens are backed at home, where they average 3.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.6, this shapes as an open game (72% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Pirmasens vs Emmelshausen-Karbach — FAQ
Who will win Pirmasens vs Emmelshausen-Karbach?
Our statistical model makes Pirmasens the most likely result at 73%. Full probabilities: Pirmasens 73%, draw 15%, Emmelshausen-Karbach 12%.
Will both teams score in Pirmasens vs Emmelshausen-Karbach?
The model gives a 61% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Pirmasens vs Emmelshausen-Karbach?
Expected goals are 3.37 for Pirmasens and 1.22 for Emmelshausen-Karbach — about 4.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pirmasens vs Emmelshausen-Karbach?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-1 (8%). Double chance for Pirmasens or draw is 90%.