Pittsburgh vs Charleston Prediction & Preview
USL 1 (USA) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 23:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
USL 1 (USA)
Pittsburgh vs Charleston
Model pick: Charleston (41%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.53 – 1.27
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 37%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pittsburgh | Charleston |
|---|
| League position | #5 (27 pts) | #2 (33 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 30% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 0.6 | 2.0 / 1.2 |
*Pittsburgh shown at home, Charleston shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pittsburgh — last 5
WLLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 17% of home games go over 2.5.
Charleston — last 5
LDLWW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pittsburgh (home) | Charleston (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-1-4 in 10 (1.1 / 0.9 goals per game) | 3-1-6 in 10 (1.1 / 1.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 17% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 17% | 33% |
USL 1 (USA) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.46
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 46%
Use these USL 1 (USA) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.53 vs 1.27):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (21%) |
| Double chance — Pittsburgh or draw (1X) | 45% |
| Double chance — Charleston or draw (X2) | 84% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 54% / 46% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Pittsburgh clean sheet | 28% |
| Charleston clean sheet | 59% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Charleston is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Despite playing away, Charleston edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (63% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Pittsburgh vs Charleston — FAQ
Who will win Pittsburgh vs Charleston?
Our statistical model makes Charleston the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Pittsburgh 29%, draw 30%, Charleston 41%.
Will both teams score in Pittsburgh vs Charleston?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Pittsburgh vs Charleston?
Expected goals are 0.53 for Pittsburgh and 1.27 for Charleston — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pittsburgh vs Charleston?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (21%). Double chance for Pittsburgh or draw is 45%.