Plock II vs LKS Lomza Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Plock II vs LKS Lomza
Model pick: Plock II (83%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.63 – 0.25
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 36%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Plock II | LKS Lomza |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.2 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*Plock II shown at home, LKS Lomza shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Plock II — last 5
LWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
LKS Lomza — last 5
LLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Plock II (home) | LKS Lomza (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 50% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.63 vs 0.25):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Plock II or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — LKS Lomza or draw (X2) | 12% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 90% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Plock II clean sheet | 78% |
| LKS Lomza clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Plock II is the model's most likely outcome at
83%. Plock II are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Plock II vs LKS Lomza — FAQ
Who will win Plock II vs LKS Lomza?
Our statistical model makes Plock II the most likely result at 83%. Full probabilities: Plock II 83%, draw 13%, LKS Lomza 4%.
Will both teams score in Plock II vs LKS Lomza?
The model gives a 36% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Plock II vs LKS Lomza?
Expected goals are 2.63 for Plock II and 0.25 for LKS Lomza — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Plock II vs LKS Lomza?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (19%). Double chance for Plock II or draw is 98%.