Plymouth Argyle vs Stockport County Prediction & Preview
League One (England) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LEAGUE ONE (ENGLAND)
Plymouth Argyle vs Stockport County
Model pick: Plymouth Argyle (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.55 – 1.4
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Plymouth Argyle | Stockport County |
|---|
| League position | #7 (0 pts) | #1 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 0.2 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
*Plymouth Argyle shown at home, Stockport County shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Plymouth Argyle — last 5
WWWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 59% of home games go over 2.5.
Stockport County — last 5
LWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 30% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Plymouth Argyle (home) | Stockport County (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 50% |
| Top scorer | Lorent Tolaj (16) | Kyle Wootton (18) |
League One (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.6
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 52%
Use these League One (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.55 vs 1.4):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Plymouth Argyle or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Stockport County or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Plymouth Argyle clean sheet | 25% |
| Stockport County clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Plymouth Argyle is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Plymouth Argyle are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Plymouth Argyle vs Stockport County — FAQ
Who will win Plymouth Argyle vs Stockport County?
Our statistical model makes Plymouth Argyle the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Plymouth Argyle 41%, draw 27%, Stockport County 33%.
Will both teams score in Plymouth Argyle vs Stockport County?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Plymouth Argyle vs Stockport County?
Expected goals are 1.55 for Plymouth Argyle and 1.4 for Stockport County — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Plymouth Argyle vs Stockport County?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Plymouth Argyle or draw is 66%.