Plymouth Parkway vs Havant & Waterlooville Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Plymouth Parkway vs Havant & Waterlooville
Model pick: Plymouth Parkway (64%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
17%
Havant & Waterlooville
Expected goals: 3.48 – 0.16
Total goals: 3.6
Over 2.5: 63%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Plymouth Parkway | Havant & Waterlooville |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.6 | 0.4 / 2.6 |
*Plymouth Parkway shown at home, Havant & Waterlooville shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Plymouth Parkway — last 5
LWWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 67% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Havant & Waterlooville — last 5
LLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 53% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Plymouth Parkway (home) | Havant & Waterlooville (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 67% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 53% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.69
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.48 vs 0.16):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Plymouth Parkway or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Havant & Waterlooville or draw (X2) | 5% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 96% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 49% / 51% |
| Plymouth Parkway clean sheet | 85% |
| Havant & Waterlooville clean sheet | 3% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Plymouth Parkway is the model's most likely outcome at
64%. Plymouth Parkway are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.6, this shapes as an open game (63% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Plymouth Parkway vs Havant & Waterlooville — FAQ
Who will win Plymouth Parkway vs Havant & Waterlooville?
Our statistical model makes Plymouth Parkway the most likely result at 64%. Full probabilities: Plymouth Parkway 64%, draw 20%, Havant & Waterlooville 17%.
Will both teams score in Plymouth Parkway vs Havant & Waterlooville?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Plymouth Parkway vs Havant & Waterlooville?
Expected goals are 3.48 for Plymouth Parkway and 0.16 for Havant & Waterlooville — about 3.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Plymouth Parkway vs Havant & Waterlooville?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (19%). Double chance for Plymouth Parkway or draw is 99%.