Plymouth Parkway vs Poole Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 31, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Plymouth Parkway vs Poole
Model pick: Plymouth Parkway (70%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.32 – 1.34
Total goals: 4.7
Over 2.5: 73%
Both teams score: 63%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Plymouth Parkway | Poole |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.0 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
*Plymouth Parkway shown at home, Poole shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Plymouth Parkway — last 5
WWDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Poole — last 5
WWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Plymouth Parkway (home) | Poole (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 67% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.32 vs 1.34):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Plymouth Parkway or draw (1X) | 88% |
| Double chance — Poole or draw (X2) | 25% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 87% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Plymouth Parkway clean sheet | 26% |
| Poole clean sheet | 4% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Plymouth Parkway is the model's most likely outcome at
70%. Plymouth Parkway are backed at home, where they average 2.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.7, this shapes as an open game (73% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Plymouth Parkway vs Poole — FAQ
Who will win Plymouth Parkway vs Poole?
Our statistical model makes Plymouth Parkway the most likely result at 70%. Full probabilities: Plymouth Parkway 70%, draw 16%, Poole 14%.
Will both teams score in Plymouth Parkway vs Poole?
The model gives a 63% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Plymouth Parkway vs Poole?
Expected goals are 3.32 for Plymouth Parkway and 1.34 for Poole — about 4.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Plymouth Parkway vs Poole?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-1 (8%). Double chance for Plymouth Parkway or draw is 88%.