Podbrezová vs FC Košice Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Slovakia) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SLOVAKIA)
Podbrezová vs FC Košice
Model pick: Podbrezová (49%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.0 – 1.49
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 61%
Both teams score: 65%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Podbrezová | FC Košice |
|---|
| League position | #5 (9 pts) | #7 (5 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 0.5 | 4.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 2.0 | 3.4 / 2.2 |
*Podbrezová shown at home, FC Košice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Podbrezová — last 5
LWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
FC Košice — last 5
DDWWL
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Podbrezová (home) | FC Košice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-0 in 2 (2.0 / 0.5 goals per game) | 1-1-0 in 2 (4.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 54% |
Super Liga (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.77
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Super Liga (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.0 vs 1.49):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Podbrezová or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — FC Košice or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 46% / 54% |
| Podbrezová clean sheet | 23% |
| FC Košice clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Podbrezová is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Podbrezová are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (61% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Podbrezová vs FC Košice — FAQ
Who will win Podbrezová vs FC Košice?
Our statistical model makes Podbrezová the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Podbrezová 49%, draw 24%, FC Košice 28%.
Will both teams score in Podbrezová vs FC Košice?
The model gives a 65% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Podbrezová vs FC Košice?
Expected goals are 2.0 for Podbrezová and 1.49 for FC Košice — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Podbrezová vs FC Košice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (9%). Double chance for Podbrezová or draw is 71%.