Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Kraków Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Kraków
Model pick: Podhale Nowy Targ (47%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.39 – 0.86
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Podhale Nowy Targ | Hutnik Kraków |
|---|
| League position | #7 (4 pts) | #6 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.0 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
*Podhale Nowy Targ shown at home, Hutnik Kraków shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Podhale Nowy Targ — last 5
WLWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Hutnik Kraków — last 5
LWLDW
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Podhale Nowy Targ (home) | Hutnik Kraków (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (3.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 45% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.39 vs 0.86):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Podhale Nowy Targ or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Hutnik Kraków or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Podhale Nowy Targ clean sheet | 42% |
| Hutnik Kraków clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Podhale Nowy Targ is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Podhale Nowy Targ are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Kraków — FAQ
Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Kraków?
Our statistical model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Podhale Nowy Targ 47%, draw 28%, Hutnik Kraków 25%.
Will both teams score in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Kraków?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Kraków?
Expected goals are 1.39 for Podhale Nowy Targ and 0.86 for Hutnik Kraków — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Hutnik Kraków?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Podhale Nowy Targ or draw is 77%.