Podhale Nowy Targ vs Śląsk Wrocław II Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Jul 25, 2026 · kickoff 09:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Śląsk Wrocław II
Model pick: Podhale Nowy Targ (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.59 – 1.16
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Podhale Nowy Targ | Śląsk Wrocław II |
|---|
| League position | #17 (0 pts) | #15 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
*Podhale Nowy Targ shown at home, Śląsk Wrocław II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Podhale Nowy Targ — last 5
LWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Śląsk Wrocław II — last 5
WLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 64% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Podhale Nowy Targ (home) | Śląsk Wrocław II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 64% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.74
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.59 vs 1.16):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Podhale Nowy Targ or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Śląsk Wrocław II or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Podhale Nowy Targ clean sheet | 31% |
| Śląsk Wrocław II clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Podhale Nowy Targ is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Podhale Nowy Targ are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 2.8, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Podhale Nowy Targ vs Śląsk Wrocław II — FAQ
Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Śląsk Wrocław II?
Our statistical model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Podhale Nowy Targ 54%, draw 24%, Śląsk Wrocław II 22%.
Will both teams score in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Śląsk Wrocław II?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Śląsk Wrocław II?
Expected goals are 1.59 for Podhale Nowy Targ and 1.16 for Śląsk Wrocław II — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Śląsk Wrocław II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Podhale Nowy Targ or draw is 72%.