Podhale Nowy Targ vs Resovia Rzeszów Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Resovia Rzeszów
Model pick: Podhale Nowy Targ (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.58 – 1.08
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Podhale Nowy Targ | Resovia Rzeszów |
|---|
| League position | #14 (4 pts) | #17 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.5 / 3.0 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 2.2 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
*Podhale Nowy Targ shown at home, Resovia Rzeszów shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Podhale Nowy Targ — last 5
WDWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Resovia Rzeszów — last 5
LLWLD
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Podhale Nowy Targ (home) | Resovia Rzeszów (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-1 in 2 (2.5 / 3.0 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 57% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.58 vs 1.08):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Podhale Nowy Targ or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Resovia Rzeszów or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Podhale Nowy Targ clean sheet | 34% |
| Resovia Rzeszów clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Podhale Nowy Targ is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Podhale Nowy Targ are backed at home, where they average 1.9 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Podhale Nowy Targ vs Resovia Rzeszów — FAQ
Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Resovia Rzeszów?
Our statistical model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Podhale Nowy Targ 46%, draw 26%, Resovia Rzeszów 27%.
Will both teams score in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Resovia Rzeszów?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Resovia Rzeszów?
Expected goals are 1.58 for Podhale Nowy Targ and 1.08 for Resovia Rzeszów — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Resovia Rzeszów?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Podhale Nowy Targ or draw is 74%.