Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Model pick: Podhale Nowy Targ (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.27 – 1.13
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Podhale Nowy Targ | Sandecja Nowy Sącz |
|---|
| League position | #9 (8 pts) | #5 (11 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 2.3 | 1.3 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 67% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.4 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
*Podhale Nowy Targ shown at home, Sandecja Nowy Sącz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Podhale Nowy Targ — last 5
WLLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Sandecja Nowy Sącz — last 5
WLWDW
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Podhale Nowy Targ (home) | Sandecja Nowy Sącz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-1 in 3 (2.0 / 2.3 goals per game) | 2-0-1 in 3 (1.3 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 56% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.27 vs 1.13):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Podhale Nowy Targ or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Podhale Nowy Targ clean sheet | 32% |
| Sandecja Nowy Sącz clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Podhale Nowy Targ is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Podhale Nowy Targ are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz — FAQ
Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
Our statistical model makes Podhale Nowy Targ the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Podhale Nowy Targ 39%, draw 28%, Sandecja Nowy Sącz 33%.
Will both teams score in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
Expected goals are 1.27 for Podhale Nowy Targ and 1.13 for Sandecja Nowy Sącz — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Podhale Nowy Targ or draw is 67%.