Pohlheim vs Hummetroth Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 12:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Pohlheim vs Hummetroth
Model pick: Hummetroth (57%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.86 – 3.02
Total goals: 4.9
Over 2.5: 74%
Both teams score: 68%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pohlheim | Hummetroth |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 4.0 | 2.0 / 4.0 |
*Pohlheim shown at home, Hummetroth shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pohlheim — last 5
L
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Hummetroth — last 5
L
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pohlheim (home) | Hummetroth (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.32
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 39%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 59%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.86 vs 3.02):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-3 (7%) |
| Double chance — Pohlheim or draw (1X) | 39% |
| Double chance — Hummetroth or draw (X2) | 78% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Pohlheim clean sheet | 5% |
| Hummetroth clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hummetroth is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. Despite playing away, Hummetroth edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.9, this shapes as an open game (74% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Pohlheim vs Hummetroth — FAQ
Who will win Pohlheim vs Hummetroth?
Our statistical model makes Hummetroth the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Pohlheim 24%, draw 19%, Hummetroth 57%.
Will both teams score in Pohlheim vs Hummetroth?
The model gives a 68% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Pohlheim vs Hummetroth?
Expected goals are 1.86 for Pohlheim and 3.02 for Hummetroth — about 4.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pohlheim vs Hummetroth?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-3 (7%). Double chance for Pohlheim or draw is 39%.