Polanka nad Odrou vs Sternberk Prediction & Preview
Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECHIA CUP (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Polanka nad Odrou vs Sternberk
Model pick: Sternberk (78%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.68 – 2.93
Total goals: 3.6
Over 2.5: 62%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Polanka nad Odrou | Sternberk |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 1.75 | 1.5 / 2.0 |
*Polanka nad Odrou shown at home, Sternberk shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Polanka nad Odrou — last 5
DWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Sternberk — last 5
WL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Polanka nad Odrou (home) | Sternberk (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 61%
Over 2.5: 77%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.68 vs 2.93):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (12%) |
| Double chance — Polanka nad Odrou or draw (1X) | 17% |
| Double chance — Sternberk or draw (X2) | 94% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 89% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 87% / 13% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 49% / 51% |
| Polanka nad Odrou clean sheet | 5% |
| Sternberk clean sheet | 51% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sternberk is the model's most likely outcome at
78%. Despite playing away, Sternberk edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.6, this shapes as an open game (62% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Polanka nad Odrou vs Sternberk — FAQ
Who will win Polanka nad Odrou vs Sternberk?
Our statistical model makes Sternberk the most likely result at 78%. Full probabilities: Polanka nad Odrou 8%, draw 14%, Sternberk 78%.
Will both teams score in Polanka nad Odrou vs Sternberk?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Polanka nad Odrou vs Sternberk?
Expected goals are 0.68 for Polanka nad Odrou and 2.93 for Sternberk — about 3.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Polanka nad Odrou vs Sternberk?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (12%). Double chance for Polanka nad Odrou or draw is 17%.