Police nad Metuji vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Police nad Metuji vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou
Model pick: Draw (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.27 – 0.52
Total goals: 0.8
Over 2.5: 16%
Both teams score: 28%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Police nad Metuji | Chlumec nad Cidlinou |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.0 / 2.2 |
*Police nad Metuji shown at home, Chlumec nad Cidlinou shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Police nad Metuji — last 5
WWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Chlumec nad Cidlinou — last 5
WLLDL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Police nad Metuji (home) | Chlumec nad Cidlinou (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 33% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.65
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 71%
BTTS: 65%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.27 vs 0.52):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (45%) |
| Double chance — Police nad Metuji or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Chlumec nad Cidlinou or draw (X2) | 85% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 48% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Police nad Metuji clean sheet | 59% |
| Chlumec nad Cidlinou clean sheet | 76% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (84% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Police nad Metuji vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou — FAQ
Who will win Police nad Metuji vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Police nad Metuji 17%, draw 49%, Chlumec nad Cidlinou 33%.
Will both teams score in Police nad Metuji vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou?
The model gives a 28% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Police nad Metuji vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou?
Expected goals are 0.27 for Police nad Metuji and 0.52 for Chlumec nad Cidlinou — about 0.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Police nad Metuji vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (45%). Double chance for Police nad Metuji or draw is 67%.