Polissya vs Kudrivka Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Ukraine) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (UKRAINE)
Polissya vs Kudrivka
Model pick: Polissya (63%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.95 – 0.67
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Polissya | Kudrivka |
|---|
| League position | #2 (9 pts) | #13 (2 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.5 | 0.5 / 2.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.0 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
*Polissya shown at home, Kudrivka shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Polissya — last 5
WWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Kudrivka — last 5
LDDWL
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 39% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Polissya (home) | Kudrivka (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-1 in 2 (2.0 / 1.5 goals per game) | 0-1-1 in 2 (0.5 / 2.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 39% |
| Top scorer | Oleksiy Gutsulyak (7) | – |
Premier League (Ukraine) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 45%
Use these Premier League (Ukraine) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.95 vs 0.67):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Polissya or draw (1X) | 88% |
| Double chance — Kudrivka or draw (X2) | 32% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Polissya clean sheet | 51% |
| Kudrivka clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Polissya is the model's most likely outcome at
63%. Polissya are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Polissya vs Kudrivka — FAQ
Who will win Polissya vs Kudrivka?
Our statistical model makes Polissya the most likely result at 63%. Full probabilities: Polissya 63%, draw 23%, Kudrivka 14%.
Will both teams score in Polissya vs Kudrivka?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Polissya vs Kudrivka?
Expected goals are 1.95 for Polissya and 0.67 for Kudrivka — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Polissya vs Kudrivka?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Polissya or draw is 88%.