Polissya vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Ukraine) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (UKRAINE)
Polissya vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Model pick: Polissya (45%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.22 – 0.74
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 40%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Polissya | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv |
|---|
| League position | #4 (3 pts) | #5 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.2 | 1.0 / 1.6 |
*Polissya shown at home, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Polissya — last 5
LLDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 37% of home games go over 2.5.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — last 5
LDLLW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 37% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Polissya (home) | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 37% |
| Top scorer | Oleksiy Gutsulyak (7) | Peter Itodo (5) |
Premier League (Ukraine) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 45%
Use these Premier League (Ukraine) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.22 vs 0.74):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — Polissya or draw (1X) | 78% |
| Double chance — Metalist 1925 Kharkiv or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 14% / 86% |
| Polissya clean sheet | 48% |
| Metalist 1925 Kharkiv clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Polissya is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Polissya are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (60% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Polissya vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — FAQ
Who will win Polissya vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
Our statistical model makes Polissya the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Polissya 45%, draw 31%, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 24%.
Will both teams score in Polissya vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Polissya vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
Expected goals are 1.22 for Polissya and 0.74 for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Polissya vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (17%). Double chance for Polissya or draw is 78%.