Politehnica Timisoara vs FC ASA Tg. Mures Prediction & Preview
Romania Cup · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ROMANIA CUP
Politehnica Timisoara vs FC ASA Tg. Mures
Model pick: FC ASA Tg. Mures (75%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.09 – 1.72
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 37%
Both teams score: 24%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Politehnica Timisoara | FC ASA Tg. Mures |
|---|
| League position | #8 (4 pts) | #21 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.2 | 1.0 / 1.4 |
*Politehnica Timisoara shown at home, FC ASA Tg. Mures shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Politehnica Timisoara — last 5
WWWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
FC ASA Tg. Mures — last 5
WLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 25% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Politehnica Timisoara (home) | FC ASA Tg. Mures (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 25% |
Romania Cup — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.66
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 8%
Away wins: 52%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Romania Cup averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.09 vs 1.72):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (28%) |
| Double chance — Politehnica Timisoara or draw (1X) | 21% |
| Double chance — FC ASA Tg. Mures or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 54% / 46% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Politehnica Timisoara clean sheet | 18% |
| FC ASA Tg. Mures clean sheet | 91% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FC ASA Tg. Mures is the model's most likely outcome at
75%. Despite playing away, FC ASA Tg. Mures edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (63% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Politehnica Timisoara vs FC ASA Tg. Mures — FAQ
Who will win Politehnica Timisoara vs FC ASA Tg. Mures?
Our statistical model makes FC ASA Tg. Mures the most likely result at 75%. Full probabilities: Politehnica Timisoara 3%, draw 22%, FC ASA Tg. Mures 75%.
Will both teams score in Politehnica Timisoara vs FC ASA Tg. Mures?
The model gives a 24% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Politehnica Timisoara vs FC ASA Tg. Mures?
Expected goals are 0.09 for Politehnica Timisoara and 1.72 for FC ASA Tg. Mures — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Politehnica Timisoara vs FC ASA Tg. Mures?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (28%). Double chance for Politehnica Timisoara or draw is 21%.