Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo Prediction & Preview
Segunda B (Spain) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 16:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SEGUNDA B (SPAIN)
Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo
Model pick: Pontevedra (53%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.58 – 0.78
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Pontevedra | Arenas Getxo |
|---|
| League position | #4 (0 pts) | #16 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
*Pontevedra shown at home, Arenas Getxo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Pontevedra — last 5
LWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Arenas Getxo — last 5
WWDLD
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 41% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Pontevedra (home) | Arenas Getxo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 41% |
Segunda B (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.26
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Segunda B (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.58 vs 0.78):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Pontevedra or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — Arenas Getxo or draw (X2) | 44% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Pontevedra clean sheet | 46% |
| Arenas Getxo clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pontevedra is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Pontevedra are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo — FAQ
Who will win Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo?
Our statistical model makes Pontevedra the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Pontevedra 53%, draw 27%, Arenas Getxo 20%.
Will both teams score in Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo?
Expected goals are 1.58 for Pontevedra and 0.78 for Arenas Getxo — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Pontevedra or draw is 82%.