Popesti Leordeni vs FC Bacau Prediction & Preview
Romania Cup · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ROMANIA CUP
Popesti Leordeni vs FC Bacau
Model pick: FC Bacau (68%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.35 – 1.75
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 39%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Popesti Leordeni | FC Bacau |
|---|
| League position | #6 (4 pts) | #9 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.0 | 2.4 / 0.8 |
*Popesti Leordeni shown at home, FC Bacau shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Popesti Leordeni — last 5
DLDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
FC Bacau — last 5
LWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Popesti Leordeni (home) | FC Bacau (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (3.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (2.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 75% |
Romania Cup — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.66
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 8%
Away wins: 52%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Romania Cup averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.35 vs 1.75):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (21%) |
| Double chance — Popesti Leordeni or draw (1X) | 28% |
| Double chance — FC Bacau or draw (X2) | 93% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 62% / 38% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| Popesti Leordeni clean sheet | 17% |
| FC Bacau clean sheet | 70% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FC Bacau is the model's most likely outcome at
68%. Despite playing away, FC Bacau edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Popesti Leordeni vs FC Bacau — FAQ
Who will win Popesti Leordeni vs FC Bacau?
Our statistical model makes FC Bacau the most likely result at 68%. Full probabilities: Popesti Leordeni 9%, draw 24%, FC Bacau 68%.
Will both teams score in Popesti Leordeni vs FC Bacau?
The model gives a 39% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Popesti Leordeni vs FC Bacau?
Expected goals are 0.35 for Popesti Leordeni and 1.75 for FC Bacau — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Popesti Leordeni vs FC Bacau?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (21%). Double chance for Popesti Leordeni or draw is 28%.