Poprad vs Ružomberok Prediction & Preview
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) · Sep 02, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SLOVAK CUP (SLOVAKIA)
Poprad vs Ružomberok
Model pick: Ružomberok (72%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.07 – 1.54
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 34%
Both teams score: 22%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Poprad | Ružomberok |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #12 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 0.5 / 3.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 2.4 |
*Poprad shown at home, Ružomberok shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Poprad — last 5
WLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 80% of home games go over 2.5.
Ružomberok — last 5
LLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Poprad (home) | Ružomberok (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.5 / 3.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 56% |
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.1
Home wins: 13%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 87%
Over 2.5: 77%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Slovak Cup (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.07 vs 1.54):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (31%) |
| Double chance — Poprad or draw (1X) | 24% |
| Double chance — Ružomberok or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 48% / 52% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 8% / 92% |
| Poprad clean sheet | 21% |
| Ružomberok clean sheet | 93% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ružomberok is the model's most likely outcome at
72%. Despite playing away, Ružomberok edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (66% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Poprad vs Ružomberok — FAQ
Who will win Poprad vs Ružomberok?
Our statistical model makes Ružomberok the most likely result at 72%. Full probabilities: Poprad 3%, draw 25%, Ružomberok 72%.
Will both teams score in Poprad vs Ružomberok?
The model gives a 22% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Poprad vs Ružomberok?
Expected goals are 0.07 for Poprad and 1.54 for Ružomberok — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Poprad vs Ružomberok?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (31%). Double chance for Poprad or draw is 24%.