Porreres vs Andratx Prediction & Preview
Tercera (Spain) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
TERCERA (SPAIN)
Porreres vs Andratx
Model pick: Porreres (45%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.43 – 1.0
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Porreres | Andratx |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.6 | 1.8 / 0.6 |
*Porreres shown at home, Andratx shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Porreres — last 5
WWDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 44% of the time; 28% of home games go over 2.5.
Andratx — last 5
LDWWW
On the road: clean sheet 32% of the time; 68% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Porreres (home) | Andratx (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 44% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% | 68% |
Tercera (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Tercera (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.43 vs 1.0):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Porreres or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Andratx or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Porreres clean sheet | 37% |
| Andratx clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Porreres is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Porreres are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Porreres vs Andratx — FAQ
Who will win Porreres vs Andratx?
Our statistical model makes Porreres the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Porreres 45%, draw 28%, Andratx 28%.
Will both teams score in Porreres vs Andratx?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Porreres vs Andratx?
Expected goals are 1.43 for Porreres and 1.0 for Andratx — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Porreres vs Andratx?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Porreres or draw is 74%.