Portuguesa vs Zamora Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Venezuela) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 21:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (VENEZUELA)
Portuguesa vs Zamora
Model pick: Portuguesa (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.32 – 0.91
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Portuguesa | Zamora |
|---|
| League position | #4 (32 pts) | #9 (24 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
*Portuguesa shown at home, Zamora shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Portuguesa — last 5
WWDDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 44% of home games go over 2.5.
Zamora — last 5
DWWDL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Portuguesa (home) | Zamora (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 47% |
Primera Division (Venezuela) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.47
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 51%
Use these Primera Division (Venezuela) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.32 vs 0.91):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Portuguesa or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Zamora or draw (X2) | 54% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Portuguesa clean sheet | 40% |
| Zamora clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Portuguesa is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Portuguesa are backed at home, where they average 1.1 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Portuguesa vs Zamora — FAQ
Who will win Portuguesa vs Zamora?
Our statistical model makes Portuguesa the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Portuguesa 44%, draw 29%, Zamora 27%.
Will both teams score in Portuguesa vs Zamora?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Portuguesa vs Zamora?
Expected goals are 1.32 for Portuguesa and 0.91 for Zamora — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Portuguesa vs Zamora?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Portuguesa or draw is 74%.