Porz vs VfL Vichttal Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Porz vs VfL Vichttal
Model pick: VfL Vichttal (59%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.09 – 3.42
Total goals: 5.5
Over 2.5: 79%
Both teams score: 71%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Porz | VfL Vichttal |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.0 | 6.0 / 2.0 |
*Porz shown at home, VfL Vichttal shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Porz — last 5
D
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
VfL Vichttal — last 5
W
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Porz (home) | VfL Vichttal (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.09 vs 3.42):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-3 (6%) |
| Double chance — Porz or draw (1X) | 37% |
| Double chance — VfL Vichttal or draw (X2) | 78% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Porz clean sheet | 3% |
| VfL Vichttal clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
VfL Vichttal is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Despite playing away, VfL Vichttal edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.5, this shapes as an open game (79% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Porz vs VfL Vichttal — FAQ
Who will win Porz vs VfL Vichttal?
Our statistical model makes VfL Vichttal the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Porz 24%, draw 17%, VfL Vichttal 59%.
Will both teams score in Porz vs VfL Vichttal?
The model gives a 71% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Porz vs VfL Vichttal?
Expected goals are 2.09 for Porz and 3.42 for VfL Vichttal — about 5.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Porz vs VfL Vichttal?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-3 (6%). Double chance for Porz or draw is 37%.